Vice President Kamala Harris will narrowly win the 2024 presidential election with 276 electoral votes to her Republican rival Donald Trump’s 262, according to a new analysis based on artificial intelligence (AI). That’s what it means.
British betting company Bonus Code Bets relies on ChatGPT, an AI language model developed by OpenAI, to assess which candidate will win in each state based on publicly available voting information, demographics and past election results. I requested that. They concluded that Harris would win in the key battleground states of Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin and Nevada, but would lose in Arizona, Georgia and North Carolina.
Recent polls show that the 2024 presidential election remains too close to call, with a model created by election aggregation firm FiveThirtyEight putting Harris ahead of Trump with 48.1% of the vote. They have a 1.4 point lead against 46.7%.
However, due to the electoral system, a candidate can win the popular vote but lose the election, as Hillary Clinton did in 2016, and the overall probability of victory according to FiveThirtyEight is that Trump 52%, followed by Harris at 48%.
For the analysis, Bonus Code Bets told ChatGPT it used “all available information, including voting information, demographics, and looked at past results and relevant events that took place in the state during the current election period. “to predict how each state will vote in the 2024 presidential election.” . ”
Harris’ 14-vote Electoral College lead is second only to Rutherford B. Hayes’ one-vote victory in 1876 and George W. Bush’s five-vote victory over Al Gore in 2000. , the third closest margin in U.S. history. But the model suggests that if Mr. Trump wins Pennsylvania or Michigan by winning 19 and 15 electoral votes, respectively, that would be enough to give him victory.
Map created by Bonus Code Bets. ChatGPT shows you which candidate it thinks will win each state on November 5th based on your prompts. Overall, we expected Kamala Harris to win by 14 electoral college votes. Map created by Bonus Code Bets. ChatGPT shows you which candidate it thinks will win each state on November 5th based on your prompts. Overall, we expected Kamala Harris to win by 14 electoral college votes. BonusCodeBets.co.uk
Newsweek reached out to representatives from Harris and Trump’s presidential campaign for comment via email Wednesday outside of normal business hours.
A Bonus Code Bets spokesperson told Newsweek: “For years, opinion polls have been used to indicate election outcomes, but new technology provides new ways to predict outcomes.” he said.
“And for such a powerful AI tool to look at the entire race and still predict that Kamala Harris will win in a single state shows how close this election is.”
In its analysis, Bonus Code Bets highlighted the importance of major cities in predicting Harris’ victory in both Michigan and Pennsylvania.
Regarding ChatGPT, the company said, “In Michigan, Trump is likely to hold on to rural areas that are Republican strongholds, while relying on key Democratic strongholds in major cities such as Detroit and Ann Arbor to maintain a blue shift.” “I support Mr. Harris,” he said.
“Similarly, Pennsylvania relies on votes from the big cities of Pittsburgh and Philadelphia and tends to vote for Kamala by close margins, despite Donald’s strong support in the Rust Belt.”
Composite image of Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, and laptop. An AI analysis of the 2024 presidential election concludes that Harris is on track to win by 14 Electoral College votes… A composite image of Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, and a laptop. An AI-powered analysis of the 2024 presidential election concluded that Harris is likely to win by 14 Electoral College votes. More photo illustrations by Newsweek/Getty
President Joe Biden caused a stir on Tuesday when he described Trump supporters as “trash” during a Zoom call. But White House press secretary Andrew Bates insisted in an interview with Newsweek that he was specifically referring to “the hateful rhetoric that came out of the Madison Square Garden rally.”
The comment came after comedian Tony Hinchcliffe spoke before Trump at the former president’s rally at Madison Square Garden in New York on Sunday, when he described Puerto Rico as a “floating island of garbage”. This was in response to the incident.
Despite the controversy, Trump’s odds of winning on November 5 have improved in the past 24 hours, according to many major bookmakers. On Tuesday, both Bet365 and Paddy Power had odds of 1-2 (66.7%) for Trump to win, but by 4 a.m. ET they had odds of 10-21 (67.7%) and 4-9, respectively. 69.2%). Wednesday.
