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In President Donald Trump’s first 100 days, the S&P 500 lost more than 7%, while the high-tech NASDAQ composite fell by 11%.
Based on sector, consumer staples are the largest acquirer in that period, increasing by 5%. Consumer discretion lost most from 13%.
We asked “Fast Money” traders to share their issues with the most promising markets over the next 100 days.
No. 1: Karen Finerman
Most likely: Big Cap Pharma. She’s bullish as the group is “a lot more overselling.”
Most issues: Container space. We may be seeing profits for now, with a huge advance in demand. If the tariff fight takes time to resolve, it becomes a “very sad income statement” in the hope that the containers will generally be fewer and the complete containers will be reduced.
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No. 2: Tim Seymour
Most promising: semiconductors and international investments. In the semi-finals, they must be the “ultimate cycle” and a purchase opportunity built from beaten ratings. He predicts that supply and demand dynamics will “furiate again” later this year.
Seymour is also bullish on international investment. His name: Miga, acronym for “Make International Great Again.”
He emphasizes that Germany’s DAX index has surpassed the S&P 500 since late November. According to Seymour, tariffs are both wake-up calls and tailwinds, so they should still work for at least the next 100 days.
He lists the attraction of relative ratings and fatigue of the “magnificent 7” among other important advantage drivers.
The Mag 7 index, consisting of Apple, Nvidia, Meta Platforms, Amazon, Alphabet, Microsoft and Tesla, has fallen almost 16% in President Trump’s first 100 days.
Most issues: Companies exposed to consumer credit and discretionary spending. Seymour hopes that US consumers will tighten their belts due to higher prices and worsening job markets.
No. 3: Dan Nathan
Most promise: “Cash will become king.”
I see Nathan barely functioning. He says defense groups, including utility, consumer staples and the US Treasury Department, historically benefit in times of economic distress. According to Nathan, the headwinds created by the recession caused by the tariffs would punish them.
Most problems: planes, trains, cars. His basic case scenario is a “long-term trade war” between China and other major countries that suffocate demand. Nathan advises consumers to “advise seat belts to secure due to unexpected turbulence and road bumps.”
No. 4: Guy Adami
Most promising: Retail. Most issues: Retail.
He thinks the retailer is in a strange place. According to Adami, “There’s no way to play this, but they seem to be at the most critical point.”
He told “fast money” Tuesday that the unemployment rate would likely be surprising.
“When you have an economy based on working and feeling better about things…it becomes a problem,” Adami told viewers. “I think the market is a bit expensive here too.”
Disclosure: Tim Seymour runs the Amplify CWP International Enhanced Dividend Income ETF.
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