What you need to know
In a recent interview, Linus Torvalds, lead developer of the Linux kernel, claimed that AI is 90% marketing and 10% reality. The developer says that they are ignoring advances in the AI environment because “the entire technology industry around AI is in a very bad position.” He envisions a future where AI is widely adopted, integrated across the enterprise, and used on a daily basis.
Looking back over the past few months, there has been a lot of speculation about the trajectory of generative AI in the tech industry. This is likely due to OpenAI’s recent financial problems, which have put it on the brink of bankruptcy with expected losses of $5 billion within the next 12 months. The ChatGPT maker has extended its lifeline through a $6.6 billion funding round from investors including Microsoft and NVIDIA, pushing its market cap to $157 billion. However, concerns abound regarding the promise of AI and the difficulty of establishing a clear path to profitability.
Is AI just a fad? Your guess may be as good as mine, but Linus Torvalds, the lead developer of the Linux kernel, recently shared some interesting insights on this topic in an interview at the Open Source Summit in Vienna. (via Tom’s Hardware).
Linus Torvalds says AI will change the world, but right now it’s 90% marketing and 10% reality, and it will be another 5 years before we know what AI will actually do. It will take a while pic.twitter.com/6knFEfJbqfOctober 21, 2024
According to the developers, the AI environment is characterized by “90% marketing and 10% reality.”
“I think AI is really interesting and I think it’s going to change the world. At the same time, I hate the hype cycle, so I don’t want to go there.”
Interestingly, another report suggests that AI may be at the end of its fad, predicting that 30% of AI-themed projects will be abandoned after proof of concept by 2025. It has been. Meanwhile, market analysts and experts say that most technology companies have made initial investments and deployments of AI across their technology stacks, and are now approaching the moment of bringing this technology to the iPhone. Microsoft, NVIDIA, and Apple appear to be moving aggressively into AI, with each at one point becoming the world’s most valuable companies with market capitalizations well over $3 trillion.
But the success these companies have witnessed isn’t enough to convince Torvalds to jump on the AI train like others. According to the lead developer:
“So my current approach to AI is to basically ignore it, because I think the entire tech industry is in a very bad position when it comes to AI (Frown)…”
But it’s not all bad, and it’s clear that AI will fail. Torvalds argues that over the next five years we may witness a shift in which AI is integrated into our workplaces and becomes a key tool used on a daily basis.
Your guess about AI is as accurate as mine.
ChatGPT AI (Image credit: Getty Images | KIRILL KUDRYAVTSEV )
As lead developer Linus Torvalds has focused on generative AI and its potential trajectory, this technology is definitely high-pressure, especially when it comes to resources like money, cooling water, and power. Perhaps even more interesting is that as technology becomes more sophisticated and advanced, more demands will be made.
OpenAI CEO Sam Altman suggested that superintelligence could be “thousands of days away.” Altman has also spoken passionately about his desire to achieve AGI (artificial general intelligence) benchmarks, a feat that former colleagues have suggested may be just around the corner for the ChatGPT maker. . However, one of OpenAI’s former principal researchers said that not all AI companies can handle everything that benchmarking entails, and given that there is a 99.9 chance that AI will wipe out humanity, this poses a significant threat. I pointed out that.
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But according to Sam Altman, achieving this feat would take “$7 trillion and many years to build 36 semiconductor factories and an additional data center.” This absurd AI dream even cemented Altman as a “podcasting buddy.” Experts predict that investors’ patience with AI is rapidly wearing thin, and that they may eventually direct their resources elsewhere.
OpenAI faces the difficult task of converting into a commercial venture within the next two years or risk returning the money it has raised from investors. The creators of ChatGPT are in the halls of justice, fighting a lawsuit filed by former OpenAI co-founder Elon Musk over the same issue. Experts say the transition to a commercial venture could face major setbacks and rejection by governments and major governments. Also the people involved.
There is also speculation that Microsoft will acquire OpenAI within the next three years, amid claims that Microsoft has caused significant damage to the AI industry with Copilot. Reportedly Clippy.
