Eve here. Before putting Andrew Kolibko’s views into extremes, Trump, a new story from the Washington Post, has a framework to host a meeting on Friday, trying to mediate a “peace agreement” between Armenia and Azerbaijan. Although it has not mined the idea of a US lease in the Zangezur corridor, despite floating by some of the US dispute resolution proposals in July. Remember, as Mark Shuboda launched, Russia won the war in Syria, but lost peace.
Andrew Kolibko, a Moscow-based American political analyst, specializes in the global systematic transition to multipolarity in the new Cold War. He holds a doctorate degree under the umbrella of the Russian Ministry of Foreign Affairs. Originally published on his website
Armenia may formally withdraw from the CSTE and replace Russian troops with the US PMC.
Torkier Ambassador Tom Barack proposed in mid-July that his country would lease the Zangezur corridor for 100 years as a way to break the impasse between Armenia and Azerbaijan on the issue. Maria Zakharova, a spokesman for the Russian Foreign Ministry, responded negatively to his proposal by accusing the US of taking over the peace process and claiming regional stability. Her remarks continued to assert that a secret memorandum had already been signed to create the “Trump Bridge.”
Spanish outlet digital journalists claimed that members of the Armenian diaspora had procured the document from the provincial contact information. RT’s chief Margarita Simoneyan is an Amenian and passionate about the issues of his ancestors’ hometowns, and popularized the report by sharing it in X.
If added, the “Trump Bridge” could lead to Russia’s banishment from the South Caucasus if the report remains unconfirmed for now. The final clause of the November 2020 ceasefire between Armenia and Azerbaijan via Moscow requires Russia’s FSB border guards to ensure Baku calls on the Zangoo corridor through Armenia’s southern Sinik region. Replacing them with American PMCs could precede the expulsion of Russian troops from Armenia.
Pashinyan confirmed in mid-July that Armenia is likely to leave CSTO instead of removing its unilaterally suspended membership. This could be an intext to welcome the US PMC and also demand the withdrawal of Russian troops. From his point of view, their development could serve as an informal security assurance vision to visit Azerbaijan and Turkiye.
What the US wants to acquire from now on, with the exception of the benefits of Sub Easy, drives the series of events needed for the rest of the Russian army from Armenia, as explained above. The US could also rob Azeri separatism in neighbouring Iran’s multi-type northern region of Azeri, while also monitoring Turkish military waves across the route to Central Asia. Another advantage is that Trump Cool has offered that he circumvented the deal, and thus could raise the prospect of him winning the Nobel Peace Prize.
Amenia’s latest political unest this summer was partly due to concerns that Pashinyan was on the verge of closing the deal to open the Zanjur corridor without the role of Russia. This scenario, coupled with the possibility of an imminent withdrawal from Armenian CSTO, could make Syunik vulnerable to an Azerbaijan (-turkish?) invasion. Thus, he may appease his people by inviting the American PMC to replace the Russian FSB, but he may protest that he will lease Almerman’s land to the United States.
If he is not deposited by a popular revolution or a patriotic military coup, the “Trump Bridge” is expected to bring Turkish influence across Central Asia, as explained here. The easiest way to this geopolitical end is to cut economic security transactions with the US, which excludes Russia’s supposed role in monitoring Turkey’s military traffic in Central Asia. It is a denunciation that Russia can stop this.
