Eve is here. Mr. Trump’s current policy diversion and “flood the zone” approach have served their intended purpose of drawing all attention to Mr. Trump. It means that our collective existential crisis of global warming is not getting enough attention. Of course, this is suitable for business leaders and wealthy people. They are very short-sighted people who believe that maintaining their positions of power and lifestyle is more important than leading by example, making sacrifices, and enacting major changes in the realm of authority.
If you pay close attention, it’s not hard to miss the collective shrug of our soi di santo elites. Global warming is too bad, so please keep destroying the environment for fun and profit.
Written by Thomas Neuberger. Originally published on God’s Spies
Whisper Campaign: Don’t Whisper About Climate Change (Poster placed on a bus stop in Paris during the big climate change conference in Paris)
Last December, we featured an article called “Short-term climate news and other frivolous stories,” which included the following graph. The source is James Hansen’s December 2025 Climate Letter, available here. I have highlighted two areas of particular interest in red.
First, notice the meaning of the lime green and lavender lines. The lime green line uses the best linear fit of climate data from 1970 to 2010 to predict future global warming. The rate is +0.18°C per decade.
However, as the data above shows, the actual rate of global warming is far from constant. Measured temperatures have clearly increased since 2015, accelerating climate change.
With that in mind, consider the Lavender line. Project future warming using the best linear fit of data from 2010 to 2024. The rate is +0.31°C per decade, almost double the previous rate.
Next, look at the far right side of the graph. Here, the lavender line intersects the vertical line of 2040 (the X-axis is time). Based on this projection, global warming is expected to exceed +1.8°C in 2040 and exceed 2°C by the mid-2050s.
Yes, it’s a disaster, but it’s still 25 years away, so it’s easy for those who can afford it to think there’s still time to act, to enjoy a few more years of March Madness without worrying about pesky thoughts.
Not so fast, my friend.
Just two months later, it’s now February, and new data is coming in about the next El Niño. Regarding this, Mr. Hansen says:
Is another El Niño phenomenon already occurring? What can we learn from it?
Abstract. Just three years after the last El Niño event, the world appears to be entering another El Niño event. Such a rapid recovery typically means a moderately strong El Niño at best, but it suggests that even a moderately strong El Niño could already lead to record global temperatures in 2026 and even higher temperatures in 2027. Extreme warming is primarily a result of high climate sensitivity and recent increases in global net climate forcing, and is not the result of exceptional El Niño per se. We find that the main drivers of global warming acceleration started around 2015, meaning that global warming is likely to reach 2°C in the 2030s, rather than mid-century.
His attached graph shows this updated data (again, highlights are mine).
Three things to note:
First, on the left, in addition to the previous line, there is a third line (purple) that shows the rate of climate change since 2015. The new rate is 0.41°C per decade, more than double the rate from 1970 to 2010.
Second, notice the 12-month moving average of global temperature (in blue), the line marking the latest La Niña minimum. This is a prediction, as 12 months have not yet passed. But if the La Niña minimum is the above number, it (the minimum of the El Niño-La Niña cycle) will be higher than the previous El Niño maximum.
If this turns out to be true, i.e. the next minimum value is higher than the previous maximum value, this would support a higher predicted acceleration accuracy.
Mr. Hansen said again.
Two years ago, when many were questioning the reality of accelerated global warming, we noted that the ongoing El Niño peak and subsequent La Niña trough could confirm the reality of acceleration and help assess whether global average temperatures had already reached 1.5°C. The 12-month average is still decreasing, so the La Niña trough is still undetermined. We project that a minimum of 1.4°C will be achieved by the second quarter of 2026. The La Niña minimum temperature is higher than any El Niño maximum temperature in the past decade, including “Super El Niño,” so a minimum of about 1.4 degrees Celsius provides strong support for global temperature acceleration. Moreover, it supports the mechanism we suggest is behind the acceleration. They are high climate sensitivity (at least 4°C if CO2 doubles) and reduced aerosol cooling due to reduced aerosol emissions from ships in East Asia and at sea (global warming in pipelines and accelerating global warming).
I believe he is right about the next La Niña minimum. As far as I know, no scientist has predicted excessive warming. For decades, all predictions have been grossly underestimated. These conservative estimates allow us to continue watching the game rather than attacking politicians.
Finally, let’s look at what will happen as the warming projections reach their peak. It will be the 2030s, not the 2050s, that will exceed +2.0℃. It’s obviously not later. It’s very close to now.
A quick note on what to do
The real point of this article is right above. Perhaps two degrees of warming is just around the corner. And now that the ideologues have been replaced by the corporatists, we are rushing to the end at breakneck speed.
So what should you do? Regular readers know that I’m not a pessimistic person. The world doesn’t have to control your feelings. We all strive to live well, even in the face of death. It doesn’t give meaning to life. In fact, life becomes more important. What we do in the meantime can still bring joy and joy. Same thing here.
Moreover, we plan for bad things to happen every day. So what should we make of this news? Trust yourself. plan. Be prepared to adapt. And live your life right no matter what the circumstances. Its mission has not changed.
