Meta Inc. CEO Mark Zuckerberg is seen on Capitol Hill after a meeting in the office of Senate Majority Leader John Thune, R.S.D., on Thursday, March 26, 2026.
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Elon Musk became the world’s first billionaire thanks to his shares in SpaceX after the company went public on June 12. Prediction market traders believe Mark Zuckerberg is the most likely to be next, but that’s still a long way off.
Speculators on Kalsi put a 32% chance that Mehta will become the world’s second richest person. Calsi’s net worth is estimated at just under $200 billion, according to Forbes, and he uses it to decide whether to say yes or no to a deal. That means his net worth would need to quadruple to win the title.
Kalsi’s contract, which is relevant to your question, also expires in 2033, meaning the contract will end if the person named in the contract does not become the second trillionaire by then. Kalsi’s event contract, which is relevant to this question, also currently trades in small amounts, trading at just over $7,500.
Traders on the platform are giving NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang the next best odds at a 21% chance of earning a 13-digit net worth. According to Forbes, his current net worth is just north of $180 billion.
No other person is thought to have a better than 10% chance of becoming the second millionaire. Michael Dell, CEO of Dell Technologies, is third most likely at 6%. That’s despite his current net worth of $240 billion, which is larger than Zuckerberg and fans.
Despite the low odds from traders in prediction markets, if previous research is to be believed, more than 1 trillion people could have wealth in the pipeline. A January 2025 Oxfam report estimates that there will be five trillionaires within 10 years.
Disclosure: CNBC and Kalsi have a commercial relationship that includes customer acquisition and minority ownership.
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